△第50回グラミー賞予想(1)

△Grammy Prediction (Part 1)

【第50回グラミー賞予想(パート1)】
予想。
第50回グラミー賞が次の日曜日(2月10日アメリカ時間=午後8時=日本時間11日月曜午前10時)から発表される。恒例の予想をしてみよう。まず第1弾は主要4部門とR&B部門。ちなみに昨年の予想は、全42部門中、本命で19部門、対抗で9部門、はずれが14部門。本命・対抗を合わせての的中率は.667だった。
ちなみに直近過去の予想と的中率は次のとおり。
2006年度(49回)(2007年2月発表)42部門 本命的中19部門 対抗9部門 計28部門 .667
2005年度(48回)(2006年2月発表)42部門 本命的中18部門 対抗12部門 計30部門 .714
2004年度(第47回) 46部門 本命26部門 対抗7部門 計33部門 .717
2003年度(第46回) 47部門 本命20部門 対抗14部門 計34部門 .723
2002年度(第45回) 33部門 本命18部門 対抗5部門 計23部門 .697
2007年のグラミー賞
http://blog.soulsearchin.com/archives/001579.html
個人的には、「今年はエイミー・ワインハウスに全部」という形で、彼女と心中することにしました。考えれば考えるほどわからなくなります。(笑)
グラミーオフィシャルサイト(英語)全ノミネート一覧など
http://www.grammy.com/
Album Of The Year:
Echoes, Silence, Patience & Grace (Foo Fighters)
These Days (Vince Gill)
対抗 River: The Joni Letters (Herbie Hancock)
Graduation (Kanye West)
本命 Back To Black (Amy Winehouse)
普通に対抗だと、カニエだと思うが、なんとなく、ハービー、ジョニのどちらもグラミー好みのアルバム、大穴的に対抗にしてみた。カニエかエイミーがR&B系、ヴィンスはカントリー大御所、フーファイターズはロック系好きな人たちの支持を集める。
Record Of The Year:
対抗 ”Irreplaceable” (Beyoncé)
“The Pretender” (Foo Fighters)
“Umbrella” (Rihanna Featuring Jay-Z)
“What Goes Around…Comes Around” (Justin Timberlake)
本命 ”Rehab” (Amy Winehouse)
Song Of The Year:
“Before He Cheats,” John Kear & Chris Tompkins, songwriters (Carrie Underwood, artist)
“Hey There Delilah,” Tom Higgenson, songwriter (Plain White T’s, artist)
“Like A Star,” Corinne Bailey Rae, songwriter (Corinne Bailey Rae, artist)
本命 ”Rehab,” Amy Winehouse, songwriter (Amy Winehouse, artist)
対抗 ”Umbrella,” Shawn Carter, Kuk Harrell, Terius “Dream” Nash & Christopher Stewart, songwriters (Rihanna Featuring Jay-Z, artist)
Best New Artist:
Feist
対抗 Ledisi
Paramore
Taylor Swift
本命 Amy Winehouse
一般的な対抗は、テイラー・スイフトのようだ。
またR&B部門のノミネートは次のとおり。
Field 6 — R&B
Category 23
Best Female R&B Vocal Performance
(For a solo vocal performance. Singles or Tracks only.)
Just Fine Mary J. Blige [Geffen]
対抗 When I See You Fantasia Track from: Fantasia [J Records/19 Records/S Records]
本命 No One Alicia Keys [J Records/MBK Entertainment]
If I Have My Way Chrisette Michele Track from: I Am[Def Jam Recordings]
Hate On Me Jill Scott Track from: The Real Thing [Hidden Beach Recordings]
Category 24
Best Male R&B Vocal Performance  (For a solo vocal performance. Singles or Tracks only.)
Woman Raheem DeVaughn [Jive Records]
B.U.D.D.Y. Musiq Soulchild Track from: Luvanmusiq [Atlantic Records]
大本命 Because Of You Ne-Yo [Def Jam Recordings]
対抗 Future Baby Mama Prince Track from: Planet Earth [Columbia/NPG Records]
Please Don’t Go Tank Track from: Sex, Love & Pain [Blackground/Universal Motown]
Category 25
Best R&B Performance By A Duo Or Group With Vocals  (For duo, group or collaborative performances, with vocals. Singles or Tracks only.)
本命 Same Girl R. Kelly Featuring Usher Track from: Double Up [Jive]
対抗 Disrespectful Chaka Khan Featuring Mary J. Blige [Burgundy/Sony/BMG]
Hate That I Love You Rihanna Featuring Ne-Yo Track from: Good Girl Gone Bad [Def Jam Recordings]
Baby Angie Stone Featuring Betty Wright [Stax]
Bartender T-Pain Featuring Akon [Jive]
Category 26
Best Traditional R&B Vocal Performance  (For solo, duo, group or collaborative performances, with vocals. Singles or Tracks only.)
Walk A Mile In My Shoes Otis Clay Track from: Walk A Mile In My Shoes [Echo Records]
対抗 All Night Long Randy Crawford & Joe Sample Track from: Feeling Good [PRA Records]
本命 In My Songs Gerald Levert Track from: In My Songs [Atlantic]
I Apologize Ann Nesby Track from: This Is Love [Shanachie/It’s Time Child Records]
I Am Your Man Ryan Shaw Track from: This Is Ryan Shaw [One Haven/Razor & Tie Entertainment]
Category 27
Best Urban/Alternative Performance  (For solo, duo, group or collaborative performances, with vocals. Singles or Tracks only.)
Make A Baby Vikter Duplaix Track from: Bold And Beautiful[BBE]
本命 That’s The Way Of The World Dwele Track from: Interpretations: Celebrating The Music Of Earth, Wind & Fire[Stax]
対抗 Daydreamin’ Lupe Fiasco Featuring Jill Scott Track from: Lupe Fiasco’s Food & Liquor [1st & 15th/Atlantic]
Fantasy Meshell Ndegeocello Track from: Interpretations: Celebrating The Music Of Earth, Wind & Fire [Stax]
Dream Alice Smith Track from: For Lovers, Dreamers & Me [BBE Records]
Category 28
Best R&B Song (A Songwriter(s) Award. For Song Eligibility Guidelines see Category #3. (Artist names appear in parentheses.) Singles or Tracks only.)
対抗 Beautiful Flower India.Arie & Joyce Simpson, songwriters (India.Arie)
Hate That I Love You M.S. Eriksen, T.E. Hermansen & Shaffer Smith, songwriters (Rihanna Featuring Ne-Yo)Track from: Good Girl Gone Bad
本命 No One Dirty Harry, Kerry Brothers & Alicia Keys, songwriters (Alicia Keys)
Teachme Ivan Barias, Adam W. Blackstone, Randall C. Bowland, Carvin Haggins, Johnnie Smith II & Corey Latif Williams, songwriters (Musiq Soulchild) Track from: Luvanmusiq
When I See U Louis Biancaniello, Waynne Nugent, Erika Nuri, Kevin Risto, Janet Sewel & Sam Watters, songwriters (Fantasia) Track from: Fantasia
Category 29
Best R&B Album (For albums containing 51% or more playing time of VOCAL tracks.)
対抗 Funk This Chaka Khan [Burgundy Records]
Lost & Found Ledisi [Verve Forecast]
Luvanmusiq Musiq Soulchild [Atlantic]
本命 The Real Thing Jill Scott [Hidden Beach Recordings]
Sex, Love & Pain Tank [Blackground/Universal Motown Records]
Category 30
Best Contemporary R&B Album (For albums containing 51% or more playing time of VOCAL tracks.)
Konvicted Akon [SRC/Universal Motown]
Just Like You Keyshia Cole [Geffen]
対抗 Fantasia Fantasia [J Records/19 Records/S Records]
East Side Story Emily King [J Records]
本命 Because Of You Ne-Yo [Def Jam Recordings]
(この項つづく)
ENT>AWARDS>Grammy 2007
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