NO.924
2005/02/05 (Sat)
47th Grammy Predictions: Part 1
予想。

いよいよグラミー賞の発表が迫った。恒例の予想をお送りする。今年のグラミーは2月13日(日曜=日本時間14日午前10時から)ロスアンジェルスのステイプル・センターで行われる。

今年の最大の話題はレイ・チャールズ。おそらく、「レイ・チャールズのグラミー」ということで記憶されることになるだろう。レイ・チャールズ関連作品は10のノミネート。最大9部門まで獲得できる。その他、アッシャー、アリシア・キーズ、カニエ・ウェストなどがどのあたりまで獲得できるか。

予想パート1は、主要4部門とポップで10部門、R&Bとラップで13部門、計27部門。明日は、ジャズ、ゴスペル、その他の部門。

ちなみに、2003年度は47部門で予想し、本命で20部門、対抗で14部門、計34部門(.723)の結果だった。(昨年の予想は2003年2月2日付け、3日付け日記、結果は2月9日、10日付け日記) 今年も本命で4割、対抗で3割の計7割を狙う。

Final Nominations List
47th Annual GRAMMY Awards

General Field

Category 1 - Record Of The Year

・Let's Get It Started/The Black Eyed Peas
本命・Here We Go Again/Ray Charles & Norah Jones
・American Idiot/Green Day
・Heaven/Los Lonely Boys
対抗・Yeah!/Usher Featuring Lil Jon & Ludacris

Category 2 - Album Of The Year

本命・Genius Loves Company/Ray Charles & Various Artists
・American Idiot/Green Day
対抗・The Diary Of Alicia Keys/Alicia Keys
・Confessions/Usher
・The College Dropout/Kanye West

Category 3 - Song Of The Year

・Daughters/John Mayer songwriter (John Mayer)
Track from: Heavier Things
本命・If I Ain't Got You/Alicia Keys songwriter (Alicia Keys)
Track from: The Diary Of Alicia Keys
対抗・Jesus Walks/C. Smith & Kanye West songwriters (Kanye West)
Track from: The College Dropout
・Live Like You Were Dying/Tim Nichols & Craig Wiseman songwriters (Tim McGraw)
Track from: Live Like You Were Dying
・The Reason/Daniel Estrin & Douglas Robb songwriters (Hoobastank)
Track from: The Reason

Category 4 - Best New Artist

・Los Lonely Boys
本命・Maroon5
・Joss Stone
対抗・Kanye West
・Gretchen Wilson

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Field 1 - Pop
Category 5 - Best Female Pop Vocal Performance

・Oceania/Bjrk
Track from: Medulla
・The First Cut Is The Deepest/Sheryl Crow
Track from: The Very Best Of Sheryl Crow
本命・Sunrise/Norah Jones
Track from: Feels Like Home
・What You Waiting For?/Gwen Stefani
対抗・You Had Me/Joss Stone

Category 6 - Best Male Pop Vocal Performance

・Let's Misbehave/Elvis Costello
Track from: De-lovely - Music From The Motion Picture (Various Artists)
・You Raise Me Up/Josh Groban
Track from: Closer
・Daughters/John Mayer
Track from: Heavier Things
本命・Cinnamon Girl/Prince
Track from: Musicology
対抗・Love's Divine/Seal
Track from: Seal IV

Field 1 - Pop
Category 7 - Best Pop Performance By A Duo Or Group With Vocal

・My Immortal/Evanescence
Track from: Fallen
・The Reason/Hoobastank
Track from: The Reason
対抗・Heaven/Los Lonely Boys
Track from: Los Lonely Boys
本命・She Will Be Loved/ Maroon5
Track from: Songs About Jane
・It's My Life/No Doubt
Track from: The Singles 1992-2003


Field 1 - Pop
Category 8 - Best Pop Collaboration With Vocals

・Redemption Song/Johnny Cash & Joe Strummer
Track from: Unearthed
対抗・Sorry Seems To Be The Hardest Word/Ray Charles & Elton John
Track from: Genius Loves Company
本命・Here We Go Again/Ray Charles & Norah Jones
Track from: Genius Loves Company
・Something/Paul McCartney & Eric Clapton
Track from: Concert For George
・Moon River/Stevie Wonder & Take 6
Track from: Ultimate Mancini

Field 1 - Pop
Category 9 - Best Pop Instrumental Performance

対抗・Chasing Shadows/Herb Alpert Russ Freeman James Genus Gene Lake And Jason Miles
Track from: Maximum Grooves: Coast To Coast (Various Artists)
本命・Take You Out/George Benson
Track from: Irreplaceable
・11th Commandment/Ben Harper
Track from: There Will Be A Light
・Song F/Bruce Hornsby
Track from: Halcyon Days
・Rat Pack Boogie/Brian Setzer
Track from: Nitro Burnin' Funny Daddy


Field 1 - Pop
Category 10 - Best Pop Instrumental Album


・Pure/Boney James
・Saxophonic/Dave Koz
本命・Forever For Always For Luther/Various Artists
Bud Harner & Rex Rideout producers
対抗・Henry Mancini: Pink Guitar/Various Artists
James Jensen producer
・EP 2003: Music For The Epicurean Harkener/Mason Williams

Field 1 - Pop
Category 11 - Best Pop Vocal Album

本命・Genius Loves Company/Ray Charles & Various Artists
対抗・Feels Like Home/Norah Jones
・Afterglow/Sarah McLachlan
・Mind Body & Soul/Joss Stone
・Brian Wilson Presents Smile/Brian Wilson

Field 2 - Dance
Category 12 - Best Dance Recording

・Good Luck/Basement Jaxx Featuring Lisa Kekaula/Basement Jaxx producers; Basement Jaxx mixers
本命・Get Yourself High/The Chemical Brothers
The Chemical Brothers producers; The Chemical Brothers mixers
対抗・Slow/Kylie Minogue
Dan Carey & Emiliana Torrini producers; Mr. Dan mixer
Track from: Body Language
・Comfortably Numb/Scissor Sisters
Scissor Sisters producers; Neil Harris & Scissor Sisters mixers
Track from: Scissor Sisters
・Toxic/Britney Spears
Avant & Bloodshy producers; Niklas Flyckt mixer
Track from: In The Zone

Field 2 - Dance
Category 13 - Best Electronic/Dance Album

・Kish Kash/Basement Jaxx
・Legion Of Boom/The Crystal Method
・Creamfields/Paul Oakenfold
・Always Outnumbered Never Outgunned/The Prodigy
・Reflections/Paul Van Dyk

Field 3 - Traditional Pop
Category 14 - Best Traditional Pop Vocal Album

対抗・Only You/Harry Connick Jr.
・Count Your Blessings/Barbara Cook
・Ultimate Mancini/Monica Mancini
・Just For A Thrill/Ronnie Milsap
本命・Stardust...The Great American Songbook Volume III/Rod Stewart


Field 4 - Rock
Category 15 - Best Solo Rock Vocal Performance

・Wonderwall/Ryan Adams
Track from: Love Is Hell
・The Revolution Starts Now/Steve Earle
Track from: The Revolution Starts...Now
・Breathe/Melissa Etheridge
Track from: Lucky
本命・Code Of Silence/Bruce Springsteen
Track from: The Essential Bruce Springsteen
対抗・Metropolitan Glide/Tom Waits

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Field 6 - R&B
Category 23 - Best Female R&B Vocal Performance

対抗・I Want You/Janet Jackson
Track from: Damita Jo
本命・If I Ain't Got You/Alicia Keys
Track from: The Diary Of Alicia Keys
・I'm Still In Love/Teena Marie
Track from: La Do
・Whatever/Jill Scott
Track from: Beautifully Human: Words & Sounds Vol. 2
・U-Haul/Angie Stone
Track from: Stone Love

Category 24 - Best Male R&B Vocal Performance

・Charlene/Anthony Hamilton
Track from: Comin' From Where I'm From
・Happy People/R. Kelly
Track from: Happy People/U Saved Me
・What We Do Here/Brian McKnight
Track from: Gemini
対抗・Call My Name/Prince
Track from: Musicology
本命・Burn/Usher
Track from: Confessions

Category 25 - Best R&B Performance By A Duo Or Group With Vocals

本命・Lose Your Breath/Destiny's Child
・Show Me The Way/Earth Wind & Fire Featuring Raphael Saadiq
・Say Yes/Floetry
Track from: Floacism "Live"
・Diary/Alicia Keys Featuring Tony! Toni! Ton・
Track from: The Diary Of Alicia Keys
対抗・My Boo/Usher & Alicia Keys
Track from: Confessions Special Edition

Category 26 - Best Traditional R&B Vocal Performance

対抗・You're My Everything/Anita Baker
Track from: My Everything
本命・Sinner's Prayer/Ray Charles & B.B. King
Track from: Genius Loves Company
・I Can't Stop/Al Green
Track from: I Can't Stop
・New Day/Patti LaBelle
Track from: Timeless Journey
・Musicology/Prince
Track from: Musicology

Category 27 - Best Urban/Alternative Performance

・Sex Love & Money/Mos Def
・Are You Experienced?/Musiq
Track from: Power Of Soul: A Tribute To Jimi Hendrix (Various Artists)
・She Wants To Move/N.E.R.D
対抗・Star/The Roots
Track from: The Tipping Point
本命・Cross My Mind/Jill Scott
Track from: Beautifully Human: Words & Sounds Vol. 2

Category 28 - Best R&B Song

対抗・Burn/Bryan Michael Cox Jermaine Dupri & Usher Raymond songwriters (Usher)
Track from: Confessions
・Call My Name/Prince songwriter (Prince)
Track from: Musicology
・My Boo/Jermaine Dupri Alicia Keys Usher Raymond Manuel Seal & Adonis Shropshire
songwriters (Usher & Alicia Keys)
Track from: Confessions Special Edition
本命・Yeah!/Chris Bridges Sean Garrett LaMarquis Jefferson Robert McDowell James
Phillips Jonathan Smith & Patrick J. Que Smith songwriters (Usher Featuring
Lil Jon & Ludacris)
Track from: Confessions
・You Don't Know My Name/Alicia Keys Harold Lilly & Kanye West songwriters (Alicia Keys)
Track from: The Diary Of Alicia Keys

Category 29 - Best R&B Album

対抗・My Everything/Anita Baker
・I Can't Stop/Al Green
本命・The Diary Of Alicia Keys/Alicia Keys
・Musicology/Prince
・Beautifully Human: Words & Sounds Vol. 2/Jill Scott

Category 30 - Best Contemporary R&B Album

・Afrodisiac/Brandy
対抗・Damita Jo/Janet Jackson
・It's About Time/Christina Milian
本命・Confessions/Usher
・Hurt No More/Mario Winans

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Field 7 - Rap
Category 31 - Best Rap Solo Performance

・On Fire/Lloyd Banks
Track from: The Hunger For More
本命・Just Lose It/Eminem
・99 Problems/Jay-Z
Track from: The Black Album
・Overnight Celebrity/Twista
Track from: Kamikaze
対抗・Through The Wire/Kanye West
Track from: The College Dropout

Field 7 - Rap
Category 32 - Best Rap Performance By A Duo Or Group

・Ch-Check It Out/Beastie Boys
Track from: To The 5 Boroughs
本命・Let's Get It Started/The Black Eyed Peas
Track from: Elephunk
対抗・Don't Say Nuthin'/The Roots
Track from: The Tipping Point
・Drop It Like It's Hot/Snoop Dogg & Pharrell
・Lean Back/Terror Squad
Track from: The Story

Field 7 - Rap
Category 33 - Best Rap/Sung Collaboration

・Why/Jadakiss Featuring Anthony Hamilton
Track from: Kiss Of Death
・Dip It Low/Christina Milian Featuring Fabolous
Track from: It's About Time
対抗・Slow Jamz/Twista Featuring Kanye West & Jamie Foxx
Track from: Kamikaze
本命・Yeah!/Usher Featuring Lil Jon & Ludacris
Track from: Confessions
・All Falls Down/Kanye West & Syleena Johnson
Track from: The College Dropout

Field 7 - Rap
Category 34 - Best Rap Song

・Drop It Like It's Hot/Calvin Broadus Chad Hugo S. Thomas & Pharrell Williams songwriters (Snoop Dogg & Pharrell)
・Hey Mama/Will Adams & Anthony Henry songwriters (The Black Eyed Peas)
Track from: Elephunk
対抗・Jesus Walks/C. Smith & Kanye West songwriters (Kanye West)
Track from: The College Drop-Out
本命・Let's Get It Started/Will Adams Mike Fratantuno Jaime Gomez George Pajon Jr. Allan Pineda &
Terence Yoshiaki songwriters (The Black Eyed Peas)
Track from: Elephunk
・99 Problems/Shawn Carter & Rick Rubin songwriters (Jay-Z)
Track from: The Black Album

Field 7 - Rap
Category 35 - Best Rap Album

・To The 5 Boroughs/Beastie Boys
・The Black Album/Jay-Z
・The Definition/LL Cool J
対抗・Suit/Nelly
本命・The College Dropout/Kanye West


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