48th Grammy Prediction: Winners Will Be…(Part 1)

【第48回グラミー賞予想(パート1)】

難問。

いよいよ第48回グラミー賞が間近に迫った。今年は2月8日(水曜=日本時間、9日木曜午後10時から)に発表される。例年、授賞式は日曜だが、今年は水曜になっている。今年のハイライトは、マライア・キャリーが何部門取るかといったあたり。

ザ・ソウル・サーチャーの予想は、なんと主要3部門の本命はマライアになってしまった。ひょっとしてひとつくらい落すかもしれないが、どれを落すかが読めない。アルバムがU2になるのだろうか。

去年は主要4部門中、3部門が当たったが、今年はどうなることやら。どのノミネートも、部門も難問ばかりだ。

パート1は、ポップ、ロック部門まで。明日のパート2でR&B、ラップ、その他の部門を行きます。目標は本命で4割、対抗とあわせて6割。昨年は本命で.565、対抗を含めて.717だった。また、『ソウル・ブレンズ』の2月5日(日)の「ソウル・サーチン」の枠を30分に拡大して、「グラミー予想」を放送します。

General
Record of the Year

本命 Mariah Carey – “We Belong Together”
Gorillaz – “Feel Good, Inc.”
対抗 Green Day – “Boulevard of Broken Dreams
Gwen Stefani – “Hollaback Girl”
Kanye West – “Gold Digger”

Album of the Year

本命 Mariah Carey – The Emancipation of Mimi
Paul McCartney – Chaos and Creation in the Backyard
Gwen Stefani – Love, Angel, Music, Baby
対抗 U2 – How to Dismantle an Atomic Bomb
Kanye West – Late Registration

Song of the Year

本命 Mariah Carey – “We Belong Together”
対抗 John Legend – “Ordinary People”
Rascal Flatts – “Bless the Broken Road”
Bruce Springsteen – “Devils & Dust”
U2 – “Sometimes You Can’t Make It On Your Own”

Best New Artist

Ciara
対抗 Fall Out Boy
Keane
本命 John Legend
SugarLand

(4部門)

+++++

Pop
Best Female Pop Vocal

本命 Mariah Carey – “It’s Like That”
対抗 Kelly Clarkson – “Since U Been Gone”
Sheryl Crow – “Good is Good”
Bonnie Raitt – “I Will Not Be Broken”
Gwen Stefani – “Hollaback Girl”

Best Male Pop Vocal

対抗 Jack Johnson – “Sitting, Waiting, Wishing”
Paul McCartney – “Fine Line”
Seal – “Walk On By”
Rob Thomas – “Lonely No More”
本命 Stevie Wonder – “From the Bottom of My Heart”

Best Pop Duo or Group With Vocal

The Black Eyed Peas – “Don’t Lie”
The Killers – “Mr.Brightside”
対抗 Los Lonely Boys – “More Than Love”
本命 Maroon 5 – “This Love”
The White Stripes – “My Doorbell”

Best Pop Collaboration With Vocals

The Black Eyed Peas & Jack Johson – “Gone Going”
Foo Fighters featuring Norah Jones – “Virginia Moon”
Gorillaz featuring De La Soul – “Feel Good, Inc.”
対抗 Herbie Hancock featuring Christina Aguilera – “A Song for You”
本命 Stevie Wonder featuring India.Arie – “A Time to Love”

Best Pop Instrumental

対抗 Burt Bacharach & Chris Botti – “In Our Time”
George Duke – “T-Jam”
本命 Herbie Hancock featuring Trey Anastasio – “Gelo Na Montanha”
Daniel Lanois – “Agave”
Les Paul – “Caravan”

Best Pop Instrumental Album

本命 Burt Bacharach – At This Time
Eric Johnson – Bloom
Earl Klugh – Naked Guitar
Daniel Lanois – Belladonna
対抗 Jeff Lorber – Flipside

Best Pop Vocal Album

Fiona Apple – Extraordinary Machine
対抗 Kelly Clarkson – Breakaway
本命 Sheryl Crow – Wildflower
Paul McCartney – Chaos and Creation in the Backyard
Gwen Stefani – Love, Angel, Music, Baby

(7部門)

+++++

Field 4 Rock
Category 15 – Best Solo Rock Vocal

本命 Eric Clapton – “Revolution”
Robert Plant – “Shine It All Around”
対抗 Bruce Springsteen – “Devils & Dust”
Rob Thomas – “This Is How a Heart Breaks”
Neil Young – “The Painter”

Best Rock Duo or Group With Vocal

対抗 Coldplay – “Speed of Sound”
Foo Fighters – “Best of You”
Franz Ferdinand – “Do You Want To”
The Killers – “All These Things That I’ve Done”
本命 U2 – “Sometimes You Can’t Make It On Your Own”

Best Rock Instrumental

Adrian Belew – “Beat Box Guitar”
Stewart Copeland – “Birds of Prey”
本命 Les Paul & Friends – “69 Freedom Special”
Joe Perry – “Mercy”
対抗 Steve Vai – “Lotus Feet”

Best Rock Song

Coldplay – “Speed of Sound”
Foo Fighters – “Best of You”
対抗 Bruce Springsteen – “Devils & Dust”
本命 U2 – “City of Blinding Lights”
Weezer – “Beverly Hills”

Best Rock Album

Coldplay – X&Y
Foo Fighters – In Your Honor
対抗 The Rolling Stones – A Bigger Bang
本命 U2 – How To Dismantle an Atomic Bomb
Neil Young – Prairie Wind

(5部門)

+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

FIELD 6 – R&B
Category 23 -Best Female R&B Vocal

Amerie – “1 Thing”
対抗 Beyonce – “Wishing on a Star”
本命 Mariah Carey – “We Belong Together”
Fantasia – “Free Yourself”
Alicia Keys – “Unbreakable”

Best Male R&B Vocal

Jamie Foxx – “Creepin’”
本命 John Legend – “Ordinary People”
Mario – “Let Me Love You”
Usher – “Superstar”
対抗 Stevie Wonder – “So What the Fuss”

Best R&B Duo or Group With Vocals

対抗 Beyonce and Stevie Wonder – “So Amazing”
Destiny’s Child – “Cater 2 U”
Alicia Keys featuring Jermaine Paul – “If This World Were Mine”
John Legend featuring Lauryn Hill – “So High”
本命 Stevie Wonder featuring Aisha Morris – “How Will I Know”

Best Traditional R&B Vocal

対抗 Mariah Carey – “Mine Again”
Fantasia – “Summertime”
本命 Aretha Franklin – “A House Is Not a Home”
Alicia Keys – “If I Was Your Woman”
John Legend – “Stay With You”

Best Urban/Alternative

本命 Floetry – “SupaStar”
対抗 Gorillaz – “Dirty Harry”
Van Hunt – “Dust”
Damian Marley – “Welcome to Jamrock”
Mos Def – “Ghetto Rock”

Best R&B Song

対抗 Mariah Carey – “We Belong Together”
Destiny’s Child – “Cater 2 U”
Fantasia – “Free Yourself”
Alicia Keys – “Unbreakable”
本命 John Legend – “Ordinary People”

Best R&B Album

Earth, Wind & Fire – Illumination
Fantasia – Free Yourself
Alicia Keys – Unplugged
対抗 John Legend – Get Lifted
本命 Stevie Wonder – A Time to Love

Category 30 – Best Contemporary R&B Album

Amerie – Touch
本命 Mariah Carey – The Emancipation of Mimi
対抗 Destiny’s Child – Destiny Fulfilled
Mario – Turning Point
Omarion – O

(8部門)
(計24部門)

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